Category Archives: Weather & Sky

Speaking of the Tilted Earth

Sunrise on the summer solstice, Pittsburgh, 21 June 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

Wednesday 21 June 2023

Two days ago we learned how humans are changing the tilt of the Earth(*). Today we celebrate the most important Tilted Earth Day in the northern hemisphere when the summer solstice occurs at 10:57am EDT and gives us the longest day.

Sunlight on Earth on the northern summer solstice (diagram from Wikimedia Commons)

Three years ago meteorologist Bill Kelly made this video at WJLA in Washington, DC explaining how the Earth’s tilt is the key to the solstice. Only one fact has changed: The solstice is on a different date and time. Sunrise, sunset, and day length are the same in DC today as they were on the solstice in 2020.

Bill Kelly video on YouTube

In Pittsburgh today the sun rose at 5:49am, we’ll have 15 hours, 3 minutes and 50 seconds of daylight, and the sun will set at 8:53pm. Thanks to the tilted Earth.

(*) p.s. How much have humans changed the tilt of the Earth? The study highlighted in Monday’s blog calculated that we’ve already moved it 80 cm (31.5?) in just 17 years (1993-2010). Click here to read more.

(photo and video credits: Click on the captions to see the originals)

Thunderstorms in Training

Thunderstorm (photo by “jcpjr” from Shutterstock.com)

Occasionally during the May-to-August storm season, the National Weather Service warns of flash flooding because of potential “training thunderstorms.”

Training thunderstorms? Are they getting in shape for a big competition? Are they practicing to be better thunderstorms? Are they learning from older, wiser storms?

No. “Training” in this case means the storms are lined up in a row, moving one after the other like railcars in a train. The Philadelphia Area Weather Book describes it:

Most of the year, thunderstorms, steered by speedy winds a few miles above the ground, move along quickly enough so that flooding is not a problem. But those high-altitude winds are typically much weaker in summer and, at times, nearly calm. When this happens, thunderstorms can sit over the same spot for hours. Even if the steering winds are not that lazy, flooding can still occur if the winds blow parallel to a line of storms. When that happens, one thunderstorm after another passes over the same location like railroad cars in a train passing over a track. Appropriately meteorologists call this process training.

— The Philadelphia Area Weather Book, 2002

From the ground we experience them as storm after storm and downpour after downpour, but on radar they look like a moving train seen from above.

Marked up radar image showing training thunderstorms (image from Wikimedia Commons)

When radar-watching meteorologists saw this phenomenon they turned the concept of “moving like a train” into an adjective describing thunderstorm behavior. The new use of an old word did not catch on. Though it’s been around at least 30 years it’s not in the dictionary.

definition of training from Google

And so when “training thunderstorms” occur, which is thankfully rare, weather forecasters must explain the term.

video about training thunderstorms from KHOU-TV on YouTube

Learn more about the complex cauldron of air that churns out training thunderstorms in Forbes Magazine: Thunderstorm Training Can Turn an Average Storm into a Flash Flood Emergency.

(photos by “jcpjr” from Shutterstock.com and from Wikimedia Commons, dictionary screenshot from Google)

Humans Are Changing the Tilt of the Earth

Windmill pumping groundwater in Texas (photo from Wikimedia Commons)

19 June 2023

Compared to the size of our planet we humans aren’t particularly large but with billions of us pumping groundwater we have changed the tilt of the Earth. Slightly.

The angle of Earth’s axial tilt varies over a period of 26,000 years (precession) from 22.1 to 24.5 degrees, but within that it wobbles due to sloshing liquids like molten lava, ocean currents, and massive air currents such as hurricanes.

This very short video shows the North Pole wandering as the axis wobbles.

video from climate.nasa.gov

Earth’s spin axis wobbles, its North Pole tracing out a roughly 10-meter-wide circle every year or so. The center of this wobble also drifts over the long term; lately, it has been tilting in the direction of Iceland by about 9 centimeters per year. …

Now, scientists have found that a significant amount of the polar drift results from human activity: pumping groundwater for drinking and irrigation.

Science Magazine: Humanity’s groundwater pumping has altered Earth’s tilt

Local water abundance, on the surface and underground, changes a region’s gravitational pull. This principle was used by the GRACE and GRACE-FO satellites as they rode the “hills” and “valleys” of gravity and recorded the presence and absence of groundwater.

To find out what affected Earth’s axial tilt, Clark R. Wilson at the University of Texas at Austin and his colleagues built a model of polar wander factoring in all the sloshing over time, including changes to surface water. But the model was missing something.

When the researchers also put in 2150 gigatons of groundwater that hydrologic models estimate were pumped between 1993 and 2010, the predicted polar motion aligned much more closely with observations. Wilson and his colleagues conclude that the redistribution of that water weight to the world’s oceans has caused Earth’s poles to shift nearly 80 centimeters during that time, reported Thursday in Geophysical Research Letters.

Science Magazine: Humanity’s groundwater pumping has altered Earth’s tilt

The GRACE satellites detected groundwater changes that produced this map. Notice how groundwater dropped in the U.S. Southeast and the Central Valley of California.

NASA GRACE data shows trends in global groundwater storage, 2003-2013 (map from NASA)

How did we pump so much groundwater? We used machines like these.

Groundwater pumping station at water facility (photo from Wikimedia Commons)

Watch the groundwater come and go in India 2002-2008 in this NASA video. (Click on the image to access the video.)

Groundwater depletion in India (video from NASA Goddard Space Flight Center)

Who knew that we could make the planet move!? 80 cm (31.5″) in just 17 years.

(photos from Wikimedia Commons, maps from NASA, click on the captions to see the originals)

Goatsbeard, Insects and a Smoky Sunrise

Goatsbeard gone to seed, SGL 117, 6 June 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

10 June 2023

Goatsbeard (Tragopogon dubius) lived up to its name this week as it showed off its huge fluffy seed head at SGL 117 in Washington County, PA.

Nymphal froghoppers known as spittlebugs hid under foam while sucking plant juice at Frick Park.

Spittlebugs, Frick Park, 8 June 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

A fluffy white substance that looked like fungus may well be insects — perhaps woolly aphids (“boogie woogie” aphids) sipping sap from a cut branch.

Are these aphids

Canadian wildfire smoke made for eerie an sunrise on Thursday morning. My photos of it were anemic. Check out Dave DiCello’s instead. Click on a photo to enlarge it.

(photos by Kate St. John, tweet embedded from @DaveDiCello)

Yes, It’s a Drought

White snakeroot (Ageratina altissima) wilting in Schenley Park, 7 June 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

9 June 2023

Plants are drooping, water levels are low, and clouds of dust engulf dirt roads in western Pennsylvania. It hasn’t rained for almost three weeks at a time of year that’s usually wet. Yesterday it became official. We’re in a drought.

Every week the U.S. Drought Monitor at University of Nebraska-Lincoln issues a nationwide drought assessment. Pennsylvania is labeled “SL” on this week’s map for evidence in both Short term and Long term indicators. (Click here for the latest Drought Map.)

Pennsylvania is in Short-and-Long Term Drought, 6 June 2023 (map from US Drought Monitor at UNL)

Most of Pennsylvania, including Allegheny County, is in Moderate Drought.

Much of PA is in Moderate Drought, 6 June 2023 (map from US Drought Monitor at UNL)

The drought seems sudden but it’s been building for a while. Precipitation was above normal last year through January 2023 but starting in February it fell off. April and May were seriously below normal. June has been bone dry so far. As of today Pittsburgh has a year-to-date precipitation deficit of 4.55 inches.

Monthly precipitation in Pittsburgh: Normal 1991-2020 (green) and 2023 actual (red) (graph from Climate for PBZ at weather.gov )

Even the hardiest invasive plants are wilting in the city parks …

Mugwort drooping from lack of water, Hays Woods, 3 June 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

… small tributaries are completely dry …

High water and no water at waterfall, Schenley Park, 7 June 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

… and the cascade pools in Schenley Parks’ Phipps Run are stagnant. Unfortunately stagnant water is a breeding ground for mosquitos, an unexpected consequence of drought.

Low water in cascade pool, Phipps Run, Schenley Park, 7 June 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

The forecast calls for rain on Monday 12 June, but one day’s rain can’t overcome the 4.5+ inch deficit.

Hoping for more rain soon. Meanwhile check out these drought tips for lawns and camping at TribLive: Dry conditions expected to continue in Western Pennsylvania.

(photos by Kate St. John, maps from U.S. Drought Monitor)

Bad Air Today, Fewer Warblers This Fall?

Sunset in Pittsburgh 3 June 2023. Pink sun due to Canada’s wildfire smoke (photo by Jonathan Nadle)

6 June 2023

On Saturday evening Jonathan Nadle took a photo of the setting sun glowing pink with threads of smoke across its face. The color was the result of wildfire smoke drifting in from western Canada.

Today Pittsburgh and much of the northeastern U.S. are under an air quality alert because the smoke is now at ground level. We don’t see it as smoke — it looks like haze — but the particles have put our air quality forecast into Code Orange = “Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups.” Young children, seniors, and those with respiratory problems should limit outdoor activities.

AirNow forecast for Pittsburgh PA on 6 June 2023

NBC News explains:

Millions of people across the Midwest are under dangerous air quality conditions Monday, as smoke from wildfires in eastern Canada wafts over the region.

Hazy skies have blanketed a wide swath of the country from the Ohio Valley to as far south as the Carolinas. Air quality advisories are in effect Monday in southeastern Minnesota and parts of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan, as well as in more than 60 counties in Wisconsin.

The spike in air pollution comes from wildfires that have been raging in the Canadian provinces of Quebec and Nova Scotia.

… Canada is experiencing one of the worst starts to its wildfire season ever recorded.

NBC News: Air quality levels in parts of the U.S. plunge as Canada wildfires rage, 5 June 2023

There are wildfires across much of Canada right now — west and east — but the fires affecting Pittsburgh today are mostly in Quebec and nearly all are out of control, displayed as red dots on Canada’s interactive wildfire map. Click here or on the screenshot below to see the interactive map.

Active wildfires in Canada, Quebec wildfires circled in pink, 6 June 2023 (map from Canadian Wildland Fire Information System)

For Pittsburgh the smoke is mostly an inconvenience but for Canadians it is dangerous and for the birds that nest in these forests it is deadly. The fires are happening where northern warblers breed including bay-breasted, blackpoll, palm, Cape May and Tennessee.

When we see fewer of these migrating warblers in the fall, the fires will be partly to blame.

Tennessee warbler (photo by Donna Foyle)

Unfortunately as climate change heats up the Earth and reduces rainfall, we can also expect more fires in North America’s forests.

Click here to see AirNow’s interactive air quality map centered on Pittsburgh, PA

(see photo and map credits in the captions)


Air Quality UPDATES

28-30 June 2032:

Wildfire smoke is back again, worse than before.

6-7 June 2023:

7 June 2023, 5:00am: The winds have changed. Pittsburgh air is still Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups this morning but it is much worse elsewhere. It is Very Unhealthy from Harrisburg to Philadelphia (purple), and Hazardous to breathe in a wide swath of Ontario including Ottawa (brown).

6 June satellite map:

AirNow interactive map as of 7 June 2023, 5:00am

Saturn and The Moon

Four of Saturn’s moons transit the planet (image from Hubble Space telescope via Wikimedia Commons)

12 May 2023

From Earth, Saturn is tiny and the Moon is large. You can see the huge size difference in Paul Byrne’s (@ThePlanetaryGuy) video of Saturn rising behind the Moon.

In reality Saturn is 95 times larger than our Moon and has 83 moons of its own plus thousands of moonlets. Only seven of Saturn’s moons can be seen through a telescope from Earth.

(photo from Wikimedia Commons, click on the caption to see the original)

Wildfire Weather in Pittsburgh

Fire at Ft. Indiantown Gap. Prescribed burn outside of fire season, Nov 2014 (photo from PA National Guard on Flickr via Creative Commons license)

12 April 2023

This morning’s weather forecast includes an unusual warning. There’s a Fire Weather Watch in Pittsburgh today from 11am to 8pm. The relative humidity is low (25-30%), the winds will be gusty (up to 25 mph) and it’ll be hot (almost 80ºF!).

Weather Forecast for Pittsburgh PA, 12 April 2023 (screenshot from National Weather Service)

Spring is fire season in Pennsylvania when 85% of our wildfires occur. As the growing season begins, forests and fields are covered in dry leaves and grasses. Under the right weather conditions a cigarette tossed from a car or a trash burn will catch and spread quickly.

That’s probably how this distant wildfire started in Fayette County in March 2011 (photo by Jon Dawson).

Smoke in the distance from a brush fire in eastern Fayette County, 26 March 2011 (photo by Jon Dawson via Flickr Creative Common license)

Pennsylvania DNCR publishes a daily county-by-county Fire Danger map which shows Allegheny County at elevated risk this morning. The highest risks are in north central PA. (Watch out DuBois and State College!) and in the drought areas in southeastern PA.

Observed Fire Danger in PA as of 11 April 2023 (map from PA DCNR)

So be careful today. Don’t burn trash, don’t drop a burning cigarette on the ground, and if you see a brush fire call the fire department!

Fire at Ft. Indiantown Gap. Prescribed burn outside of fire season, Nov 2014 (photo from PA National Guard on Flickr via Creative Commons license)

Be safe during Pennsylvania Fire Season.

(photos from PA National Guard and Jon Dawson on Flickr via Creative Commons license, weather forecast screenshot from NWS, Fire Danger Map from PA DCNR)

Seen This Week

Star magnolia in bloom, Schenley Park, 27 March 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

1 April 2023

Welcome to April! Last month brought flowering trees, frost damage, more flowers and early leaf out.

The star magnolia (Magnolia stellata) above was looking good on 27 March but the one below bloomed too early on Pitt’s campus and sustained frost damage.

Frost damage on a star magnolia, Univ of Pittsburgh campus, 22 March 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

This honeybee didn’t care about the brown petals. She probably flew in from The Porch beehives across the street.

Honeybee at frost-damaged star magnolia, Univ of Pittsburgh, 22 March 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

Non-native flowers are blooming. Eyebright (Euphrasia sp) popped up in the grass at Frick.

Eyebright in Frick Park, 22 March 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

Purple dead-nettle (Lamium purpureum) bloomed before the frost and still looked good on the 29th, here with chickweed (Stellaria media) in a Shadyside front yard.

Purple dead-nettle and chickweed, 29 March 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

Meanwhile leafout is already underway. Bush honeysuckle had leaves on 18 March.

Bush honeysuckle leafout in Schenley Park, 18 March 2023 (photo by Kate St. John)

And by the time I noticed this yellow buckeye (Aesculus flava) in Schenley Park, it was already well beyond first leaves. Two photos show the same branch two days apart, 28 and 30 March. Last year, yellow buckeyes were still in bud on this date.


Meanwhile our trees are in for too much excitement today with high winds gusting to 60 mph. We expect downed trees and power outages in our future.

Batten down the hatches, Pittsburgh!

(photos by Kate St. John, maps from @NWSPittsburgh)

Watching Sunrise on the Equinox

19 March 2023

Tomorrow the Spring Equinox will occur at 5:24pm EDT. Some will mark the day by visiting a celestial calendar, a structure where sunrise lines up with particular stones. At Angor Wat, below, the sun rises behind the middle tower.

Equinox sunrise over top of the middle tower of Angkor Temple, Angor Wat, Cambodia, March 2012 (photo from Wikimedia Commons)

In the U.S. there’s a granite celestial calendar behind the Len Foote Hike Inn at Amicalola Falls State Park in Georgia. Pictured at top, the Star Base includes a granite keyhole, a shelter (cave) and Adirondack chairs for viewing.

Tonight the Hike Inn is probably full to capacity with all 20 bunkrooms in use. Tomorrow everyone will be up and out before dawn to watch the sun rise.

The Hike Inn as seen from Star Base, March 2009 (photo by Kelly Stewart via Flickr Creative Commons license)

Newcomers usually visit the Star Base beforehand so they know what to expect.

Nashville Hiking Meetup members visit the Star Base, 2009 (photo by Kelly Stewart via Flickr Creative Commons license)

The next morning they watch from the cave.

Waiting for Spring Equinox sunrise, 2009 (photo by Kelly Stewart via Flickr Creative Common license)

The most famous aspect of the Hike Inn is not the Star Base but the fact that you have to hike 5 miles to get to it. No vehicle access. Check-in at the Amicalola Falls State Park Visitors Center, park your car at the trailhead and start your hike. The Appalachian Trail’s southern terminus at Springer Mountain is (relatively) nearby.

Trail sign for the Hike Inn (photo by Kelly Stewart via Flickr Creative Commons license)

Upon arrival put your phone in airplane mode. The Hike Inn is intentionally unplugged, though they do have electricity (mostly solar). No TV, no radio, no phone … just enjoy the quiet time.

Arriving at the Hike Inn, 2009 (photo by Kelly Stewart via Flickr Creative Commons license)

Because the equinox is late in the day on 20 March there may be two sunrises, March 20 & 21, that come close to perfect.

Sunrise at the Equinox 20 March 2004 from the Hike Inn, Georgia (photo from Wikimedia Commons)

For more information about lodging, check out the Hike Inn website.

(photos from Wikimedia Commons and by Kelly Stewart on Flickr via Creative Commons license; click on the captions to see the originals)